Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Foreclosures Could Become Rental Homes

The White House is aiming to improve the housing market with a new initiative – turning foreclosed properties into rental homes. According to the Wall Street Journal, the Obama Administration is seeking input from investors on launching this potential new program.
The video below explains the idea in detail. Do you think this program would help the housing market?

Monday, August 8, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary


This week brings us the release of four relevant economic reports in addition to another FOMC meeting and two relevant Treasury auctions. With all of the volatility in the markets of the past two weeks, it is difficult to say whether this will be an active week for mortgage rates. Under normal circumstances, it would be. But it is hard to label any week as active if comparing to the previous two.

The first economic data of the week is Employee Productivity and Costs data for the second quarter that will be released Tuesday morning. It will give us an indication of employee output per hour. High levels of productivity are believed to allow the economy to grow without fears of inflation. I don’t see this being a big mover of mortgage pricing, but since it is the only data of the day it may influence rates slightly during morning trading. Analysts are currently expecting to see a decline in productivity of 0.6% and a 2.2% jump in labor costs. A stronger than expected productivity reading and a smaller than expected increase in costs could help improve bonds, leading to lower mortgage rates Tuesday.

The FOMC meeting is a single-day event that will be held Tuesday and will adjourn at 2:15 PM ET. It is expected to yield no change to key interest rates. Usually, the post-meeting comments seem to have more of an influence on the markets than the rate adjustments themselves, or a lack of one in many cases. Look for the statement to lead to volatility during afternoon trading if it hints at what the Fed’s next move may be and when it will come. Market participants will be looking for any indication of a move to help boost economic activity. If the statement does not give us new information, mortgage rates will probably move little after its release.

There is no important economic data on the calendar for Wednesday. June’s Trade Balance report will be released early Thursday morning. It gives us the size of the U.S. trade deficit but is the week’s least important report and likely will have little impact on the bond market and mortgage rates. Analysts are expecting to see a $48.0 billion deficit, but it will take a wide variance to directly influence mortgage pricing.

Friday has the remaining two pieces of economic data, one of which is highly important to the markets and mortgage rates. July’s Retail Sales data is that report. This data is very important to the financial markets and mortgage rates because it helps us measure consumer spending. Since consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy, any data related to it can cause a fair amount of movement in the markets. A smaller than expected increase would indicate that consumers are spending less than previously thought, potentially further slowing the economic recovery. This is good news for the bond market and mortgage rates as it eases inflation concerns and makes long-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds more attractive to investors. Current forecasts are calling for an increase of 0.5%.

The last report of the day will come from the University of Michigan, who will release their Index of Consumer Sentiment for August at 9:55 AM. This index gives us a measurement of consumer willingness to spend. If confidence is rising, then consumers are more apt to make large purchases. This helps fuel consumer spending and economic growth. By theory, a drop in confidence should boost bond prices, but this data is considered moderately important and carries much less significance than the Retail Sales report does. Analysts are expecting to see a reading of 62.5, which would be a decline from July’s revised reading.

Also worth noting are two important Treasury auctions this week. The sale of 10-year Notes will be held Wednesday while 30-year Bonds will be sold Thursday. We often see some weakness in bonds ahead of the sales as the firms participating prepare for them. However, as long as they are met with decent demand from investors, the firms usually buy them back. This tends to help recover any presale losses. But, if the sales are met with a lackluster interest from investors- particularly international buyers, the bond market may move lower after the results are posted and mortgage rates may move higher. Those results will be announced at 1:00 PM each sale day.

Overall, it is difficult to label one particular day as the most important. Friday’s sales data is the most important economic report, but Tuesday’s FOMC meeting has the potential to cause plenty of movement in the markets and mortgage pricing also. Tomorrow will also be interesting, especially considering the size of the sell-off in bonds Friday. I would not be surprised to see that negative tone extend into tomorrow’s bond trading and mortgage rates. I suspect the FOMC meeting will not have as much of an influence on mortgage rates as one may expect, but the markets can react wildly to a single word or omission of a word in the statement, so we need to be cautious. This is certainly another week that continuous contact with your mortgage professional is highly recommended if you are still floating an interest rate.

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

How to Hold a Successful Yard Sale

Whether you are getting ready to move out of your old home or simply making space for a new motorcycle, a yard sale is an excellent way to get rid of clutter and make money at the same time.

Not all yard sales are created equal, however. Planning and organization are key to making the most out of the sale. The video below gives simple advice on how to make the event a smooth success.


Friday, July 29, 2011

5 Things to Think About When Looking for Your Dream Home


While on the hunt for a perfect home, it can be immensely helpful to create a wish list of sorts. This can help you and your real estate agent obtain a clear picture of what type of home would best suit you.
Some things to consider:

1. Move-in ready or fixer-upper?
Making a home “your own” can make fixer-uppers an attractive option, along with the lower cost. Making a mark on your new home via renovations. Take some time to think about what homeownership means to you, and whether you are interested in renovation.

2. Upgrades
Certain upgrades in a home, such as marble or granite counters, are often coveted by buyers. Consider what type of upgrades are important to you – energy-efficiency, professional grade appliances, luxury tiling? Make a list and show your Realtor.

3. The Yard
What type of backyard are you looking for, and how important is it to you? Think about low versus high maintenance yards, the amount of space you’d like, and what kind of yard would best suit your lifestyle.

4. Swimming Pools
For some homebuyers, having a swimming pool can be a dealbreaker. If this is something that you really desire in your dream home, make that clear to your real estate agent so that they can narrow the search for you.

5. Schools in the Area
Last but certainly not least, the quality of the schools in the area of a dream home should be an important thing to research. Ask your Realtor for information about schools in the area of your search, and comparisons between them. This information is easily obtained, and real estate agents will be more than happy to show you school scores and more. Also consider private schools, if that is an option for your family.

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Inexpensive Home Maintenance Tasks Can Prevent Big Expenses in the Future


For a few hours’ time and a small investment, you can do a lot to protect your property. Even renters can ensure comfortable surroundings with some of these tips.

Get energy efficient. If you have not yet installed a programmable thermostat, now is the time to do it. You can reduce your cooling costs by 10 percent, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Thermostats cost $40 to $70.

Seal around the tub and shower. Cracked or poorly sealed caulking around tubs, showers, and sinks can lead to water damage to floors, walls, and the ceilings below, say experts writing in Money magazine. When you see cracks or gaps, buy a $5 tube of caulking and reapply.

Prevent fires. Check your fire extinguisher to see if it’s still charged. If you need a new one, buy an extinguisher that works on both kitchen and electrical fires. The National Fire Protection Agency recommends one that is labeled ABC. Cost is about $40.

Test the sump pump. Before a heavy rain floods your basement, test your sump pump to see if it works. Pour water into the well around it. Raising the water level should make it go on.

Prevent shocks. Electrical outlets near water in the kitchen and bathroom should have ground fault circuit interrupters that protect from a shock They have “test” and “reset” buttons. If you need one, the GFCI costs about $10, but you should hire an electrician to install it.

Service the garage door. Spray penetrating oil such as WD-40 into the hinges and rollers so the door will open and close more easily. Test the safety reverse mechanism by placing an object in the door’s path to see if it stops. WD-40 costs about $7.

Monday, July 25, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary--Busy Week!


There are seven reports scheduled for release this week may affect mortgage pricing in addition to two relevant Treasury auctions, but despite all that, the current debt ceiling issue may take center stage. With no data scheduled for release today, the stock markets and updates out of Washington will drive the markets.
Friday evening’s collapse of talks on the topic happened after the markets closed, so it will be interesting to see how we fare this morning. I suspect it is going to be ugly if significant progress is not made in Washington. At posting time of this report, the Japan indexes are showing losses, but not by a concerning amount.

The economic data starts Tuesday when the Conference Board posts their Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for July at 10:00 AM ET. This index measures consumer sentiment, giving us an idea of consumer willingness to spend. If consumers are more confident in their own financial situations, they are apt to make large purchases in the near future. This is important because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. If the CCI reading is weaker than expected, meaning that consumers were less confident than thought, we may see bond prices rise and mortgage rates drop Tuesday. Current forecasts are calling for a reading of 56.0, which would be a lower reading than June’s 58.5 and indicate consumers are becoming less comfortable with their finances.

June’s New Home Sales will also be released late Tuesday morning. It gives us a measurement of housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand. Analysts are expecting it to show a small increase in sales of newly constructed homes, indicating that the housing sector gained some strength. That would be considered negative news for bonds, but since this data tracks only 15% of all home sales it usually has little impact on the bond market and mortgage rates unless it varies greatly from forecasts.

Wednesday brings us two events that are relevant to mortgage rates. The first will come from the Commerce Department when they post June’s Durable Goods Orders at 8:30 AM ET. Current forecasts are currently calling for an increase in new orders of 0.4% from May to June. This data gives us an indication of manufacturing sector strength by tracking orders at U.S. factories for big-ticket items, or products that are expected to last three or more years. A stronger than expected number may lead to higher mortgage rates Wednesday morning. If it reveals a decline in new orders, mortgage rates should drop because it would indicate manufacturing weakness. It should be noted though that this data is known to be extremely volatile from month to month, so a minor difference between forecasts and the actual reading may not move mortgage rates much.

The Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book report Wednesday afternoon. This report is named simply after the color of its cover, but it is considered to be important to the Fed when determining monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. It details economic activity and conditions by region throughout the U.S. Since Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s testimony to Congress two weeks ago gave us a recent update, I don’t think we will see any significant surprises in this report. Therefore, we will likely see little movement in mortgage rates Wednesday afternoon as a result of this report.

There is no relevant monthly or quarterly data scheduled for release Thursday, but there are three releases scheduled to be posted Friday morning. The first is the preliminary reading of the 2nd Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is considered to be the best indicator of economic activity. It is the sum of all goods and services produced in the U.S. and usually has a great deal of influence on the financial markets. This reading is arguably the single most important we get regularly. Current forecasts are estimating that the economy grew at a 1.6% annual rate during the second quarter. A faster pace will probably hurt bond prices, leading to higher mortgage rates Friday. But a smaller than expected reading would likely fuel a bond market rally and lead to lower mortgage pricing.

The second report of the day Friday is the 2nd Quarter Employment Cost Index (ECI) that measures employers’ costs for wages and benefits. It is considered to be an important measurement of wage inflation and can impact the bond market and mortgage rates if it varies much from forecasts. If it shows a rapid increase, raising inflation concerns, the bond market may drop and mortgage rates rise. It is expected to reveal an increase of 0.5%, but the GDP reading likely will have more of an influence on the markets and mortgage rates.

Friday’s third piece of data is the final revision to July’s University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment that will help us measure consumer optimism about their own financial situations. As with Tuesday’s CCI release, this data is considered important because rising consumer confidence usually translates into higher levels of spending. This adds fuel to the economic recovery and is looked at as bad news for bonds. Friday’s release is an update to the preliminary reading we saw two weeks ago, so unless we see a drastic revision to the preliminary estimate, I think the markets will probably shrug this news off.

Also worth mentioning are a couple of Treasury auctions that may affect bond trading and mortgage rates this week. The two most important are Wednesday’s 5-year Note and Thursday’s 7-year Note sales. Results of this week’s auctions will be posted 1:00 PM ET each day. If investor interest is strong, we can expect the broader bond market to rally and mortgage rates to move lower. However, lackluster demand could lead to bond selling and higher mortgage rates Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Unless progress is made on the debt ceiling prior to these sales, it is highly unlikely that they will go well.

Overall, I am expecting an extremely active week in the financial and mortgage markets. With several important economic reports on tap, we will likely see noticeable movement in mortgage rates more than one day. The most important report of the week is Friday’s preliminary GDP reading, making it one of the most important days of the week. But it is difficult to say which day we can expect to see the most movement in rates as several of the releases and scheduled events have the potential to influence mortgage rates. The wild card is the debt ceiling. Any news on that topic will probably heavily influence the financial and mortgage markets. Therefore, I STRONGLY recommend maintaining contact with your mortgage professional this week if still floating an interest rate!

Thursday, July 21, 2011

7 Things You Should NOT Do When Applying for a Home Loan


This is a list of things to steer clear of when you are seeking to obtain financing for a home. If you do any of these things, please contact your loan officer immediately.
Even if you have been pre-qualified, we can help you re-qualify.

1. Don’t buy or lease an auto!
Lenders look carefully at your debt-to-income ratio. A large payment such as a car lease or purchase can greatly impact those ratios and prevent you from qualifying for a home loan.

2. Don’t move assets from one bank account to another!
These transfers show up as new deposits and complicate the application process, as you must then disclose and document the source of funds for each new account. The lender can verify each account as it currently exists. You can consolidate your accounts later if you need to.

3. Don’t change jobs!
A new job may involve a probation period, which must be satisfied before income from the new job can be considered for qualifying purposes.

4. Don’t buy new furniture or major appliances for your “new home”!
If the new purchases increase the amount of debt you are responsible for on a monthly basis, there is the possibility this may disqualify you from getting the loan, or cut down on the available funds you need to meet the closing costs.

5. Don’t run a credit report on yourself!
This will show as an inquiry on your lender’s credit report. Inquiries must be explained in writing.

6. Don’t attempt to consolidate bills before speaking with your lender!
The loan officer can advise you if this needs to be done.

7. Don’t pack or ship information needed for the loan application!
Important paperwork such as W-2 forms, divorce decrees, and tax returns should not be sent with your household goods. Duplicate copies take weeks to obtain, and could stall the closing date on your transaction.